V 2022

Predicting Extreme Quantiles of Financial Returns: The Role and Information Content of Market Liquidity

STAŠEK, Daniel

Basic information

Original name

Predicting Extreme Quantiles of Financial Returns: The Role and Information Content of Market Liquidity

Authors

STAŠEK, Daniel

Edition

Brno, 12 pp. preprint, 2022

Publisher

Interní grantová agentura MU

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Research report

Country of publisher

Czech Republic

Confidentiality degree

is not subject to a state or trade secret

References:

Organization

Ekonomicko-správní fakulta – Repository – Repository

Keywords in English

Realized volatility; value-at-risk; liquidity measures; forecasting; quantile regression

Links

EF19_073/0016943, research and development project. MUNI/IGA/1116/2021, interní kód Repo.
Changed: 1/4/2023 04:06, RNDr. Daniel Jakubík

Abstract

V originále

An accurate estimation of uncertainty related to the prices of financial assets is among the main interests of researchers and practitioners. Due to the ever changing nature of financial markets, it is still a challenge to find good explanatory variables of the market risks. Within these, we show that the liquidity measures bear useful information content related to the forecasts of extreme quantiles of price returns. In addition, we demonstrate the liquidity explanatory power to differ with the size of market capitalization on total sample of 190 companies. Lastly, we provide an evidence on the issue of mutual interchangeability of liquidity benchmarks and liquidity proxies.

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