Přehled o publikaci
2025
Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions
KMENTOVÁ, Darina and Martin KREIDLBasic information
Original name
Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions
Authors
KMENTOVÁ, Darina and Martin KREIDL
Edition
8th GGP User Conference, 2025
Other information
Language
English
Type of outcome
Presentations at conferences
Country of publisher
Estonia
Confidentiality degree
is not subject to a state or trade secret
References:
Organization
Fakulta sociálních studií – Repository – Repository
Keywords in English
Generations and Gender Programme; Generations and Gender Survey; Contemporary Czech Family; fertility intentions; polycrisis; education; income
Links
CZ.02.01.01/00/23_025/0008710, interní kód Repo. EH23_025/0008710, research and development project. GGP-CZ, large research infrastructures.
Changed: 25/10/2025 00:50, RNDr. Daniel Jakubík
Abstract
In the original language
This paper uses survey data from the Czech Generations and Gender Survey to explore the relationships between individuals’ socioeconomic conditions and their short-term fertility intentions. Between 2020 and 2024, the total fertility rate in the Czech Republic declined, accompanied by a notable decrease in the annual number of births. Recent research on fertility intentions highlights the impact of individuals’ current socioeconomic status and perceptions of uncertainty, revealing how unfavorable conditions, polycrisis, and uncertain expectations can be linked to declining fertility plans. We analyze survey data from the first wave of Czech GGS-II (2020–2022), focusing on women aged 18–39. We compare the predicted probabilities of women intending or not intending to have a child in the next three years, based on the results from an ordinal logistic regression. The results reveal a general decline in short-term intentions between 2020 and 2022. Additionally, we conclude that socioeconomic conditions influenced short-term intentions in the Czech Republic between 2020 and 2022, during a period defined by multiple crises.
