Přehled o publikaci
2024
What drives the uranium sector risk? The role of attention, economic and geopolitical uncertainty
LYÓCSA, Štefan and Neda Tosheva TODOROVABasic information
Original name
What drives the uranium sector risk? The role of attention, economic and geopolitical uncertainty
Authors
LYÓCSA, Štefan and Neda Tosheva TODOROVA
Edition
Energy Economics, AMSTERDAM, ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, 2024, 0140-9883
Other information
Language
English
Type of outcome
Article in a journal
Country of publisher
Netherlands
Confidentiality degree
is not subject to a state or trade secret
References:
Marked to be transferred to RIV
Yes
RIV identification code
RIV/00216224:14560/24:00140138
Organization
Ekonomicko-správní fakulta – Repository – Repository
UT WoS
EID Scopus
Keywords in English
Uranium; ETF; Nuclear Energy; Realized volatility; Forecasting; Geopolitical Uncertainty
Links
GA20-11769S, research and development project.
Changed: 1/2/2026 00:51, RNDr. Daniel Jakubík
Abstract
In the original language
Interest in nuclear energy has increased recently due to its low-carbon footprint, energy security concerns, and technological advances. Despite the recent surge in uranium stocks, there is a lack of research on uranium sector volatility. We fill this gap by analyzing the volatility of the Global X Uranium ETF (URA) from 2010 to 2024 using high-frequency data. Our analysis reveals that HAR models effectively capture URA volatility. Market-wide implied volatility and investor attention, captured by Google search volume, are found to contain valuable information for forecasting uranium sector volatility in an in-sample context. In contrast, economic and geopolitical uncertainty, as well as global financial risk, exhibit limited relevance. Although advanced models show some improvement in out-of-sample predictions, the basic HAR model remains a robust benchmark.