J 2022

The ins and outs of Central European unemployment

FLEK, Vladislav; Martina MYSÍKOVÁ and Martin HÁLA

Basic information

Original name

The ins and outs of Central European unemployment

Authors

FLEK, Vladislav; Martina MYSÍKOVÁ and Martin HÁLA

Edition

Baltic Journal of Economics, Oxon, ENGLAND, ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2022, 1406-099X

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Article in a journal

Country of publisher

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

Confidentiality degree

is not subject to a state or trade secret

Marked to be transferred to RIV

No

Organization

Škoda Auto Vysoká Škola z.ú. – Repository

UT WoS

Keywords in English

worker flows, unemployment variance decompositionworker flows, labour market, Central Europe

Tags

International impact, Reviewed
Changed: 25/10/2023 09:49, Ing. Lada Honzáková

Abstract

In the original language

We examine the role of unemployment inflows and outflows in contributing to unemployment cyclicality in Czechia and Poland, using data from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions, and a three-state model of unemployment variance decomposition. We find that the labour market fluidity is higher in Poland than in Czechia, with Polish workers moving in and out of unemployment more frequently than their Czech counterparts. For both countries, the upward unemployment dynamics was during 2008-2011 driven by counter-cyclical increases in the job-separation rate, rather than by pro-cyclical declines in the job-finding rate. The inflow-outflow split was nonetheless more balanced in Czechia. The two economies further diverged across 2015-2018: Czech unemployment declined prevailingly due to diminishing job separations, while in Poland it was mostly due to improving job-finding prospects. This signals a deeper insider-outsider fragmentation of the Czech labour market, even during the period of economic expansion.

Files attached