J 2021

FORECASTING FDI FLOWS IN THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC TIMES AND THE ROLE OF INVESTMENT PROMOTION AGENCIES

KOTÍKOVÁ, Sylvie and Renata ČUHLOVÁ

Basic information

Original name

FORECASTING FDI FLOWS IN THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC TIMES AND THE ROLE OF INVESTMENT PROMOTION AGENCIES

Authors

KOTÍKOVÁ, Sylvie and Renata ČUHLOVÁ (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution)

Edition

Economics Management Innovation, Olomouc, Moravian University College Olomouc, 2021, 1804-1299

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Article in a journal

Country of publisher

Czech Republic

Confidentiality degree

is not subject to a state or trade secret

References:

RIV identification code

RIV/00216224:14560/21:00122032

Organization

Ekonomicko-správní fakulta – Repository – Repository

Keywords in English

Investment incentives; investment promotion agencies; Covid-19; global value chain; foreign direct investment
Changed: 13/12/2022 04:19, RNDr. Daniel Jakubík

Abstract

V originále

The paper analyses the economic impacts of the pandemic COVID-19 with an emphasis on FDI. The paper evaluates the attitudes of governments towards a crisis and the effects on the stages of economic cycle in the Investment Development Path theory. The important role of investment incentives and the role of investment promotion agencies to support businesses in preventing divestment is highlighted. Based on the analysis of UNCTAD, OECD, CZSO and CNB data, the ambition of the paper is to provide a forecast of FDI inflows in the Czech Republic. Three scenarios are created with a prediction of 15%, 37% and 60% of decline in FDI and compared with the pre-pandemic period. The analysis provides recommendations for both private and public sectors. Business production chains should be simplified and the institutional side should support by appropriate incentive programs. Finally, it is essential to put more emphasis on domestic investors.

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