NĚMEC, Daniel and Michal PAVLÍK. Predicting insolvency risk of the Czech companies. In Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference Quantitative Methods in Economics (Multiple Criteria Decision Making XVIII). Bratislava: University of Economics. p. 258-263. ISBN 978-80-972328-0-1. 2016.
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Basic information
Original name Predicting insolvency risk of the Czech companies
Authors NĚMEC, Daniel (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution) and Michal PAVLÍK (703 Slovakia).
Edition Bratislava, Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference Quantitative Methods in Economics (Multiple Criteria Decision Making XVIII), p. 258-263, 6 pp. 2016.
Publisher University of Economics
Other information
Original language English
Type of outcome Proceedings paper
Field of Study Applied statistics, operational research
Country of publisher Slovakia
Confidentiality degree is not subject to a state or trade secret
Publication form printed version "print"
RIV identification code RIV/00216224:14560/16:00090093
Organization Ekonomicko-správní fakulta – Repository – Repository
ISBN 978-80-972328-0-1
UT WoS 000394099300041
Keywords in English bankruptcy prediction; logistic regression; bankruptcy model; Czech Republic
Links MUNI/A/1040/2015, interní kód Repo.
Changed by Changed by: RNDr. Daniel Jakubík, učo 139797. Changed: 3/9/2020 01:15.
Abstract
The goal of this paper is to create and evaluate the models for predicting insolvency risk of the Czech companies. This contribution aims to reveal the most important factors which affect the bankruptcy in the Czech Republic including the characteristics of the local business environment. Using the public data from the accounting statements (from 2005 to 2013) we have built model with one-year forecast horizon. The model is treated as the standard logit models and estimated using the maximum likelihood approach. Comparing the results with the traditional bankruptcy models proves that our model has overall better predictive power and can be thus used for reliable evaluations of the future financial stability of the Czech companies.
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